clacher_holiday2

I was pre-empting the bickering, I did say at least pretend to be on topic

At least pretend to be on-topic ffs, I havent had to delete/edit anything for months so please dont start bickering as I cant remember how to do it. And I've no idea what youre talking about TheKnowledge with regards to IHE, your brother and the Police but if he reports that post then I'll learn how to delete again.

Been trying to find some of the laying accumulators i placed online this year, can only find a couple fomr the start of the season, these win for me 3/4 weeks.. On betfair it comes out looking like this, the week I played this bet there were FOUR draws, every fav was heavily backed online 5 Selections Chosen 1 Montrose v Annan Ath (Laying Annan Ath @ 3.77) 2 Peterhead v Alloa (Laying Alloa @ 6.61) 3 Dunfermline v Airdrie Utd (Laying Airdrie Utd @ 5.83) 4 Livingston v Clyde (Laying Clyde @ 4.3) 5 Queens Park v Brechin (Laying Queens Park @ 3.88) 5-Folds Selections Odds* Stake Potential win 1,2,3,4 and 5 3.39 ?25.00 ?59.75 Laying doubles are always a sound investment, laying two teams at 3.5 returns about evens, its not easy but it does work, getting into the mindset that risking ?20 to win ?10 or ?20 is easy when you actually start winning cash

If most punters in the shops didnt go for ridiculous accumulators every week then youd find the prices of all the teams would be totally different, especially draws in games where the favorites at home. Not one person won a fixed odds line in my shop yesterday, but they were all on half a dozen winners, if punters split their ?5 stake across their 10 teams then most folk would end up seeing themselves in a bit of profit and the markets would have to become more efficient, Tranmere yesterday would still be 1/2 but more of the market % wouldve shifted from the draw to the away side, so the odds of the draw couldve been down to 7/4 even, if everybody did nothing but back singles then itd have to happen. This comp skews things a bit as people end up chasing, people drop out by not picking anything, its a pattern reflected in the shops over the course of a day, stretched out over a season. Picking draws is very difficult, I've not attempted to find one all year and I wont be from here on in. If anybody wants to know the real secret to making a profit out of football then I'll let you know.... get a Betdaq or Betfair account, do all the normal work that goes into picking out teams, if anything looks like AMAZING value on the odds then ignore it as youve simply been out thought by the compiler.. if something looks like GOOD value then LAY the other team. Going back to the Tranmere game yesterday Bob, backing Hereford to lose at about 1/7 on Betfair might not be the most appealing move in the world, but by HT they wouldve need 3 goals to win the bet, your blood pressure wouldnt of gone awol at 2-1. Look through your betting results and look at every Draw youve picked, they wouldve been winners. Its difficult telling people that placing bets that are effectively heavy odds on shots is the way to make money out of football, most of my laying bets would be at about 3.0-4.0, so to win ?10 youd be risking between ?20 and ?30, but youll always be on the right side of the market at them prices.

Strange the comp will run to 37 weeks when each team will only have played 36 games... Its almost as if we included a cup weekend we shouldnt have.! Well played today Bob, got a few people on them but most were turned off by the price. Didnt see this before I sent that text earlier!

Looks like its upto you to update the scores then

Youre telling me, Christmas come early with that one...

Montrose @ 2.20

If we moved to the Bucht theres no question that itd take alot longer to drive away form the ground after a match, but then we would adapt, as fans of other clubs have done over the years. Less would drive to games, more people would take advantage of the free buses, we would get used to adding 20 minutes onto journeys etc. All said the Bucht thing will never happen..!

I didnt see the game so couldnt comment but I was hapyp to see them carry your cash home, myself I was on nowt. As for the top two places I think he who dares will win, we've both had safe home odds on shots go belly up this past two weeks, I'm confident! As you say 1,000 quids alot of money to be playing for, but I'll not get nervous about it at all, as they say the best things in life are free..

It's all about sewn up for the top slots as far as I can see Bob, 5 weeks to go, just a case of who ends up in what place now I'm happy to play the game of picking longer odds no matter where I am, it happens every year

Montrose @ 3.2 Theres a few overpriced teams this week and I honestly feel like I should be picking St Johnston and letting things run as they have been for another week... but if this was week 5 and not week 32 I'd take the chance..! So why not?

Agreed... we'll see where we stand with TWO weeks to go before we start getting complacent. Lest we forget theres been swings all over the place before, not least 20+ points swings between the top two. Good news is those from 4th down feel like they have to chase...all they have to do is pick winners at any price and the likes of Brechin will do the rest for em. 5-6 weeks left. Bring it on I say, if I win the 2k I'll follow tradition and send some to the club/trust, otherwise I probably wont with 2nd or 3rd! So CaleyD, if you support this crappy team of ours at all you'll agree to drop out now and we'll send a few hundred quid ICT's way?

No I think I'll finish in 1st or 2nd Bob, still 5-6 weeks to go here.. CaleyD's just had a great weekend though, think he may just need one more like it next week, if he does get one then itll be tough.

Theres a shock, didnt take you long to update it this time did it Don

Oh my god! I thought Berwick and East Stirling drew 1-1 !!!! You scumbag CaleyD Long way to go yet, Brechin let me down bigtime with a real upturn in Arbroaths form, but we have to accept these things..

Brechin @1.57 please. And very good Bob, think theyve more to gain winning the league!

Last August I predicted Killie would go down and looking at the league table I see no reason why they wont. Ourselves, Flakirk and St Mirren are all better than them. Just a case of taking chances, need to get our shooting boots on.

As far as Billy Mountains are concerned, these are all 3pm kick offs, I seem to remember the last time Scotland played on a Saturday some of the games kicked off at 12.30. No excuses with a whole week to get your thinking caps on!

Scottish Division 1 Ross County v Dundee 2.62 3.30 2.25 Scottish Division 2 Brechin v Arbroath 1.57 3.75 4.50 Stirling v East Fife 2.20 3.50 2.62 Stranraer v Ayr 9.50 5.00 1.22 Scottish Division 3 Berwick v East Stirling 2.37 3.50 2.37 Elgin v Annan Ath 3.50 3.50 1.80 Forfar v Montrose 1.73 3.60 3.75 Especially early for you JDM...! Mind and look over your shoulder this week, Gringo just needs one draw to be back in the cash

Yes. And over the international weekend next Saturday, though theres usually a few odd kick off times, I'll see about getting them posted up as soon as the books are written..

appy days

Why people saying Queens will draw with Stirling? Stirling Albion are going to win that game!

Cowdenbeath @ 1.67

You git CaleyD Need to get my thinking cap on now. Cowden will be a bet for me at the shop but I dont want to be loading up on them here, will probably be backing them and Forfar with cash either way.