Since we came into the SPL we've always been a side that builds its success on runs of good performances - we pick up results when we are doing well but are also capable of going on runs where we do almost literally nothing.
Last season just before Christmas we had a run of games almost identical to this one - nine games, four draws, five losses, six goals scored (three in one game agaisnt Killie) and fifteen conceded. The run culminated in a game against Dunfermline at East End that is one of the worst performances I've ever seen from us, dreadful stuff. We managed to turn it around though.
I think the difference in our performances this season are that we don't have the strong spine we did in every season up until last. From January until June we lost Mark Brown, Darren Dods and Craig Dargo. Fraser has stood in well for Brown, despite a few jitters that most keepers get from time to time. However, the big factor that has made this season more disappointing than previous ones is the fact that defensively we don't have the solidity that we previously did. Put simply we aren't difficult to score against and we can't grind out results. We are losing games by the odd goal and not turning enough narrow defeats into draws.
For example, we have drawn three matches this season. In 2004/05 we drew 11 games - 7 of which we came from behind to get a point. In 2005/06 we drew 13 games - 5 of which we came from behind to get a point. In 2006/07 we drew 13 games - 6 of which we came from behind to get a point. I don't get to as many games as most people on here but does anyone think that when we concede a goal we're ever going to get back into a game at the moment? We seem to be in the grip of a mailaise during this run - losing away to Hibs, Motherwell, Celtic is excusable but being scudded by a rotten Hearts side at home isn't.
Of course, the flip side of the coin is the form that we showed before Christmas which has made our season. During that period we staged an absolutely amazing come-back against Celtic and showed amazing character, skill and courage. We also showed great character at Tynecastle in one of our most memorable performances in teh SPL. Bar a change or two we have pretty much the same side that achieved this. We can turn this around.
Regarding Brewster, I supported his comeback and I still think he's the best person for the job. The facts of the season are when he came in we were terrible and he has been in charge of the team during the games where we've picked up points and pulled ourselves out of the mire. If you are going to chastise him for the poor performances we have to congratulate him on the good. I do think that he made a mistake getting rid of Rankin. With him tucked in behind Niculae we seemed to have found a system of play that was working and his set piece delivery was extremely important. If you have a player who can get a dangerous ball in the box or the danger area you can conjure up threatening situations from just about every dead ball in the opposition half. We don't have that now and it's not really surprising that we are scoring fewer goals.
I think that Brewsters selections in midfield should be simplified - he should play players where they are most comfortable. Playing left-sided players on the right is a valid tactic as it poses the defenders different problems and gives a side a different slant. however, given the lack of confidence we are playing with we should keep it simple and have Cowie on the right and McBain/Imrie on the left. Let players get back to basics. We are short both at the back and up front though, a legacy of previous management decisions not to replace players we knew were leaving well in advance. A pacy striker and a solid centre half should be top of the shopping list for June. In the meantime, I think that giving Proctor a shot in the centre of defence is a good idea - he will be fresh and has done well for us there in the past. As for up front, it's really two of Niculae, Bayne and Wyness, not something that will fill the opposition with dread. Niculae is obviously a good player but I'd lovet o see him paired with someone like, whisper it, Dargo.