We will beat Norway home and away, they are worse than us at the moment, we even beat them away from home under Vogts.
We will also win in Iceland. That coupled with the fact that other teams will take points of each other (the mighty Norway that apparently we can only take 2 points from were held at home by Iceland yesterday) will be enough to see us at least give it a go.
Writing a team off after one match is pathetic, there is plenty of time and games.
As you say, we will take a point from Holland, that will put us on 16 points. That would then mean that every other second place team must get more than 23 points, which is not going to happen