As much as it pains me to say so I agree, if they can keep Rooney fit then they are a good bet although they always seem to choke.
I would love to see Argentina win it as they have some amazing players however Maradona's shocking team and squad selections during their quailfiers doesn't bode well, it'll be interesting to see who he picks in his squad.
My money is on Spain though and even if Torres and Xavidon't make it they still have Villa and can call up the likes of Fabregas too.
Expect a few shocks, I think Portugal and Italy may struggle to qualify from their groups and may even take a punt on that.