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Posted

The result on Sturday is most unlikely to be a draw. Morton are the only senior club in the United Kingdom not to have drawn a single league match all season. Their record is 7 wins, no draws and 16 defeats.

Posted

And if you take the laws of probability into account then the longer they have gone without a draw the more likely they are to have one.

Posted

And if you take the laws of probability into account then the longer they have gone without a draw the more likely they are to have one.

Not sure that's right is it ? The more times a coin comes down tails doesn't make it any more likely to be heads the next time.

Posted

Off topic here but hopefully Partick will beat Ayr tonight to ensure Morton still have a little bit of a cushion at the bottom. Would rather not be up against a team in the relegation zone.

Posted

I see Morton's big commanding Centre- Half Stewart Greacen got himself sent-off on Saturday.

No need for him to be heading up the A9 this weekend then :rolleyes:

Posted

Off topic here but hopefully Partick will beat Ayr tonight to ensure Morton still have a little bit of a cushion at the bottom. Would rather not be up against a team in the relegation zone.

The Ayr turnaround has taken another step forward

Ayr United 1-0 Partick Thistle (FT)

Posted (edited)

Off topic here but hopefully Partick will beat Ayr tonight to ensure Morton still have a little bit of a cushion at the bottom. Would rather not be up against a team in the relegation zone.

The Ayr turnaround has taken another step forward

Ayr United 1-0 Partick Thistle (FT)

Lets hope the turnaround continues and they take something from the Dundee game next Wednesday....

Edited by eileanacheoICT
Posted

And if you take the laws of probability into account then the longer they have gone without a draw the more likely they are to have one.

Not sure that's right is it ? The more times a coin comes down tails doesn't make it any more likely to be heads the next time.

Yes, but what's the chances/odds of you flipping two heads in a row? Whilst the odds on the upcoming flip will always be 50/50, probability tells us that we'll eventually get a tail and each coin that comes down heads moves us closer to that moment.

Posted

Good that this game isn't getting decided on a flip of the coin. It's being decided on the best football team in the league playing one of the worst at home, 4-0 home win!!

Posted

And if you take the laws of probability into account then the longer they have gone without a draw the more likely they are to have one.

Not sure that's right is it ? The more times a coin comes down tails doesn't make it any more likely to be heads the next time.

Yes, but what's the chances/odds of you flipping two heads in a row?

After you flip the first head the odds are 50/50 on the next one, saying that though there are far too many variables in football to make a comparison to flipping a coin which can only ever have three outcomes per action.

Posted

And if you take the laws of probability into account then the longer they have gone without a draw the more likely they are to have one.

Not sure that's right is it ? The more times a coin comes down tails doesn't make it any more likely to be heads the next time.

Yes, but what's the chances/odds of you flipping two heads in a row?

After you flip the first head the odds are 50/50 on the next one, saying that though there are far too many variables in football to make a comparison to flipping a coin which can only ever have three outcomes per action.

Flipping a coin is a 50/50 chance as long as it is not weighted. Regardless of what has gone on before there should be a 50/50 chance each time it is flipped. Apart from the traditional way to decide who kicks off, football is not down to statistical chance. The longer Morton go without a draw the more likely it becomes that there is a reason why they don't draw games and therefore statistically a draw becomes less likely. I think their proven ability to lose matches will result in them losing yet again.

Posted

And if you take the laws of probability into account then the longer they have gone without a draw the more likely they are to have one.

Not sure that's right is it ? The more times a coin comes down tails doesn't make it any more likely to be heads the next time.

Yes, but what's the chances/odds of you flipping two heads in a row?

After you flip the first head the odds are 50/50 on the next one, saying that though there are far too many variables in football to make a comparison to flipping a coin which can only ever have three outcomes per action.

Flipping a coin is a 50/50 chance as long as it is not weighted. Regardless of what has gone on before there should be a 50/50 chance each time it is flipped. Apart from the traditional way to decide who kicks off, football is not down to statistical chance. The longer Morton go without a draw the more likely it becomes that there is a reason why they don't draw games and therefore statistically a draw becomes less likely. I think their proven ability to lose matches will result in them losing yet again.

With regard to the coin I notice that the third and extremely improbable but not impossible option of the coin landing on it's edge is discounted by everyone. With regard to your observations on the statistics of Morton gaining a draw then I believe you are spot on in your conclusion.

Posted (edited)

Please guys can you put your coins back in your pockets. Wouldn't want anyone to be accused of throwing any on saturday.

Well if the reports are to be believed then it will be high denomination notes that we need for the refreshment outlets, coins are just not enough these days.

Edited by Revbirdog
Posted

What would you call somebody who tosses a coin?

Ref.

Posted (edited)

What would you call somebody who tosses a coin?

Ref.

Or To88er depending on how referees the game. :P

Edited by Oz647
Posted

We're now going to be playing a side well and truly sucked in to the relegation dogfight. Not good.

This could be a good thing though Rory, if Morton need points they cant afford to sit back, they need to push a bit to get a goal and this should mean an open game - plenty space for Roons and Odi to use.

Posted

I've got a fiver for Caley to win 6-0. No first to score - 100/1 odds at Coral. They were offering 40-1 for 3-0 but as CaleyStan mentioned to me last night, we're probably more likely than not to concede a goal. Maybe all the coin tossers can have a wee flutter with their loose shrapnel.

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